Published: Fri, 14 Aug 2020 15:58:17 +0000
Market Blog August 14, 2020 The S&P 500 Index has been flirting with a new all-time high the past few days and is currently less than half a percent away from exceeding the last all-time high set on February 19. … Continue reading →
Published: Thu, 13 Aug 2020 15:58:10 +0000
Economic Blog We continue to follow high-frequency data to assess whether the US recovery remains on track or if it has been derailed by COVID-19 outbreaks in parts of the country. Here we look at 5 charts that illustrate that … Continue reading →
Published: Thu, 13 Aug 2020 14:58:07 +0000
DAILY INSIGHTS Stocks edging lower after Wednesday’s record. In the last hour of trading Wednesday, the S&P 500 Index traded above its all-time record closing high of 3386 set on February 19 before fading in the closing minutes to end … Continue reading →
Published: Wed, 12 Aug 2020 15:58:14 +0000
Market Blog The S&P 500 Index is a few points away from a new all-time high, completing one of the fastest recoveries from a bear market ever. But this will also seal the deal on the shortest bear market ever. … Continue reading →
Published: Wed, 12 Aug 2020 15:09:59 +0000
DAILY INSIGHTS Markets higher. US markets opened higher with the S&P 500 Index within striking distance of an all-time high, its first since COVID-19’s emergence. In the midst of Washington gridlock, strained US-China relations, and the pandemic’s challenges, the markets … Continue reading →
Published: Tue, 11 Aug 2020 16:00:33 +0000
Market Blog As election season heats up, we are often presented with questions regarding market returns based on the political party composition of the White House and Congress. In our Election Preview Weekly Market Commentary, we took a closer look … Continue reading →
Published: Tue, 11 Aug 2020 15:34:54 +0000
DAILY INSIGHTS New highs are close. Stocks opened higher in the United States as the S&P 500 Index could reach new all-time highs today, with Europe up big and gains in Asia as well. It’s a quiet news day, with … Continue reading →
Published: Mon, 10 Aug 2020 15:57:39 +0000
Market Blog Gold continues to move higher and higher, making new all-time highs along the way. As we discussed in Calendar Concerns and Gold Gains, we see many fundamental reasons to expect this rally in gold to continue. Here are … Continue reading →
Published: Mon, 10 Aug 2020 15:04:51 +0000
DAILY INSIGHTS Stocks opened little changed. Market participants will remain focused on whether lawmakers in Washington, DC, can agree on a fifth coronavirus relief package. Meanwhile, several executive actions taken by the White House to provide relief without involving Congress … Continue reading →
Published: Fri, 07 Aug 2020 20:01:08 +0000
Market Blog Index Performance S&P 500 Index: 2.5% Dow Jones Industrial Average: 3.8% Nasdaq Composite: 2.5% Equities This week was positive for the markets as some encouraging economic data and well-received earnings reports helped propelled stocks higher. Technology, communications services, … Continue reading →
Published: Fri, 07 Aug 2020 16:03:24 +0000
After falling the most on record in April, the US labor market has rebounded with three consecutive months of job gains, adding back more than 9 million of the 22 million jobs lost in March and April. In July, the … Continue reading →
Published: Fri, 07 Aug 2020 14:58:09 +0000
DAILY INSIGHTS Markets point lower to end the week. US equities are modestly lower in early trading, following negative closes in Asia and a mixed session in Europe. Tensions with China are weighing on investors’ minds as President Donald Trump … Continue reading →
Published: Thu, 06 Aug 2020 15:58:16 +0000
Economic Blog We’ve written quite a bit lately about the deterioration in high-frequency data. Indicators of mobility (such as auto and air travel, commuting activity, restaurant diners, etc.) leveled off in July due to the latest wave of COVID-19 cases. … Continue reading →
Published: Thu, 06 Aug 2020 15:07:21 +0000
DAILY INSIGHTS Stocks set to open slightly lower. The S&P 500 Index is going for its fifth straight positive session today, while the Nasdaq will try to make it seven in a row. Today, market participants will focus on the … Continue reading →
Published: Wed, 05 Aug 2020 15:58:23 +0000
Market Blog This isn’t like any recession we’ve ever seen, as it was sparked by a horrible pandemic and happened because people were told to stay inside. The impact was the worst contraction in gross domestic product (GDP) last quarter … Continue reading →
Published: Wed, 05 Aug 2020 15:26:10 +0000
DAILY INSIGHTS Stocks opened higher. US stock markets opened in the green, with the Nasdaq reaching its 30th new record high of 2020. Investors are focusing on positive earnings reports, developments on the COVID-19 relief bill, vaccine progress, and jobs … Continue reading →
Published: Tue, 04 Aug 2020 15:57:52 +0000
Economic Blog The 10-year Treasury yield is historically low, so low that it could climb a full 1% before the end of the year and still be the lowest year-end yield on record, with room to spare. Historically low rates … Continue reading →
Published: Tue, 04 Aug 2020 14:58:57 +0000
DAILY INSIGHTS Stocks opened slightly lower. The S&P 500 Index is down slightly in early trading on a quiet day for economic data. Tuesday, market participants will focus on stimulus talks in Washington, United States and China tensions, earnings season, … Continue reading →
Published: Mon, 03 Aug 2020 15:58:17 +0000
Market Blog 2020 has been historic and devastating in many ways, from the fastest bear market ever, to one of the greatest stock market recoveries ever. Not to mention a historic drop in the economy in the second quarter, with … Continue reading →
Published: Mon, 03 Aug 2020 14:58:40 +0000
DAILY INSIGHTS Stocks start the week on a positive note. The S&P 500 Index is set to open higher this morning to kick off August, a month that historically has been one of its weakest, after a strong 5.5% gain … Continue reading →
Published: Fri, 31 Jul 2020 20:01:15 +0000
Market Blog Index Performance S&P 500 Index: 1.7% Dow Jones Industrial Average: -.2% Nasdaq Composite: 3.7% Equities This week was another mixed week for the markets, as large cap growth earnings powered tech behemoths and the Nasdaq to more than … Continue reading →
Published: Fri, 31 Jul 2020 15:57:58 +0000
Market Blog Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, Google, and Facebook. These five stocks have helped spawn a number of acronyms as they try to capture the rise of mega-cap tech stocks that have led the market higher for much of the past … Continue reading →
Published: Fri, 31 Jul 2020 14:58:13 +0000
DAILY INSIGHTS Tech stocks fuel gains to end week. The S&P 500 Index is marginally higher in early trading, as large cap growth stocks fuel gains in the technology, consumer discretionary, and communication services sectors. Asian markets were mostly lower, … Continue reading →
Published: Thu, 30 Jul 2020 17:45:13 +0000
Economic Blog The best thing we can say about today’s US gross domestic product (GDP) report for the second quarter is that it’s behind us. GDP contracted at a 32.9% annualized rate during the quarter, the largest decline on record. … Continue reading →
Published: Thu, 30 Jul 2020 15:58:17 +0000
Economic Blog The Federal Reserve (Fed) completed its latest two-day policy meeting Wednesday, July 29, and the primary message coming from the world’s most important central bank was a continued commitment to supporting the economy as long as it’s needed—and … Continue reading →
Published: Thu, 30 Jul 2020 14:59:52 +0000
DAILY INSIGHTS Stocks opened lower on big news day. Futures were already lower ahead of the historic gross domestic product (GDP) report and jobless claims data and those data points didn’t change the picture much. Asian markets were modestly lower … Continue reading →
Published: Wed, 29 Jul 2020 15:56:41 +0000
Market Blog “An object in motion tends to remain in motion along a straight line unless acted upon by an outside force.” Sir Isaac Newton Last September, we noted that gold had many structural reasons to soar. Well, soar it … Continue reading →
Published: Wed, 29 Jul 2020 15:03:11 +0000
DAILY INSIGHTS Markets showing resilience. After finishing near their lowest trading levels Tuesday, US markets opened higher this morning. Investors are gauging the wide differences between Republicans and Democrats on the next fiscal stimulus package given the present economic climate. … Continue reading →
Published: Tue, 28 Jul 2020 15:57:37 +0000
Economic Blog After carving out the first part of a “V-shaped” recovery, the US economy has leveled off somewhat in response to the latest wave of COVID-19 infections. In this week’s Weekly Market Commentary: Stalling Economic Recovery May Slow Stock … Continue reading →
Published: Tue, 28 Jul 2020 15:00:09 +0000
DAILY INSIGHTS S&P 500 slightly lower with stimulus, virus in focus. The S&P 500 Index is slightly lower early today as market participants continue to assess stimulus progress, COVID-19 case growth, and earnings. The S&P 500 climbed 0.7% Monday as … Continue reading →
Published: Mon, 27 Jul 2020 15:57:36 +0000
Market Blog “That’s not a knife … that’s a knife!” Paul Hogan in Crocodile Dundee There is growing talk that growth stocks and specifically technology stocks are in a bubble. But as Paul Hogan showed is in the classic 1986 … Continue reading →
Published: Mon, 27 Jul 2020 14:57:53 +0000
DAILY INSIGHTS Stocks opened higher. After ending last week on a down note and seeing its three-week win streak snapped, the S&P 500 Index is in the green in early trading this morning. Markets are awaiting the release of the … Continue reading →
Published: Fri, 24 Jul 2020 20:02:13 +0000
Market Blog Index Performance S&P 500 Index: -0.3% Dow Jones Industrial Average: -0.8% Nasdaq Composite: -1.3% Equities Large cap US equities pulled back modestly this week, as technology-oriented stocks paused for the second consecutive week. The Nasdaq fell more than … Continue reading →
Published: Fri, 24 Jul 2020 15:58:22 +0000
Leading economic indicators continued to rebound in June, albeit at a slightly slower pace than in May. Yesterday, The Conference Board released its June report detailing the latest reading for its Leading Economic Index (LEI), a composite of data series … Continue reading →
Published: Fri, 24 Jul 2020 14:59:02 +0000
DAILY INSIGHTS Down again. US stocks opened lower following Thursday’s broad weakness. Caution is in the air, as China retaliated by shutting down the US consulate in Chengdu. Asian markets were down significantly on the news. European markets are firmly … Continue reading →
Published: Thu, 23 Jul 2020 16:00:01 +0000
Economic Blog The US dollar was remarkably strong during the first quarter of 2020, benefitting from the flight to safety and rallying to nearly a 10% year-to-date gain at the stock market’s low point on March 23. However, as equity … Continue reading →
Published: Thu, 23 Jul 2020 14:59:17 +0000
DAILY INSIGHTS Stocks opened little changed. The S&P 500 Index is trying for its sixth straight positive session as mostly well-received earnings results and optimism that the next big stimulus package out of Washington, DC, will soon be secured are … Continue reading →
Published: Wed, 22 Jul 2020 17:57:47 +0000
Market Blog LPL Research released our Midyear Outlook 2020 last week, discussing the path of the eventual economic and market recovery. What makes this year so incredible is, as of July 21, the S&P 500 Index moved positive for the … Continue reading →
Published: Wed, 22 Jul 2020 14:59:15 +0000
DAILY INSIGHTS Mixed markets. US stocks opened mixed, as Tuesday the S&P 500 Index moved to its highest level since February. Caution is in the air as the United States ordered China to close its consulate in Houston, fueling potential … Continue reading →
Published: Tue, 21 Jul 2020 15:58:12 +0000
Economic Blog While the 10-year Treasury yield has traded in a narrow range since early April, the equivalent real yield, represented by the yield on 10-year Treasury inflation-protected securities (TIPS), has continued to fall and could go lower. Real yields … Continue reading →
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